TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&M Aggiesof Kentucky Wildcats, Texas A&M Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3846…9742backed Kentucky Wildcats45c9,948$4,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.493956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Texas A&M Aggies55c8,577$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.758957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Texas A&M Aggies56c2,665$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.714245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies55c2,459$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.331,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats45c2,449$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c2,185$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.182759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kentucky Wildcats46c1,990$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.4748855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas A&M Aggies55c1,802$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0957248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Texas A&M Aggies55c1,758$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.919652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c1,606$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.911,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats26c1,517$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3885,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Texas A&M Aggies54c1,500$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69527947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas A&M Aggies53c1,477$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.732,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Kentucky Wildcats45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kentucky Wildcats29c826.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.613,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas A&M Aggies48c613.75$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats46c517.78$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.181,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Kentucky Wildcats58c481.63$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.693938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Kentucky Wildcats45c440.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2779448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas A&M Aggies27c436.13$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.381,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c423.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kentucky Wildcats42c372.31$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.372,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kentucky Wildcats46c351.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Texas A&M Aggies53c342.83$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Texas A&M Aggies54c330.11$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8519554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kentucky Wildcats45c316$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats63c308.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kentucky Wildcats44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Kentucky Wildcats14c284.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8320234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kentucky Wildcats10c259.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.984,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Texas A&M Aggies55c252.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5524649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas A&M Aggies27c247.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.651,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Kentucky Wildcats43c231.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.614843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Texas A&M Aggies54c219.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0810150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies53c209.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kentucky Wildcats47c199.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c178.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7824857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kentucky Wildcats11c153.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Kentucky Wildcats21c150.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7818439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M Aggies57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Kentucky Wildcats13c137.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9336535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Kentucky Wildcats46c129.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.483542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe300…8b9ebacked Kentucky Wildcats55c125.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.573938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Kentucky Wildcats44c118.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats47c111.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…84f5backed Texas A&M Aggies54c109.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5635646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Kentucky Wildcats47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.567655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Kentucky Wildcats47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5914553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kentucky Wildcats48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5827358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas A&M Aggies27c98.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.772,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Texas A&M Aggies54c91.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Texas A&M Aggies55c90.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5523054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Kentucky Wildcats46c86.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6531647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Texas A&M Aggies29c70.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas A&M Aggies49c62.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.363,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kentucky Wildcats45c62.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Kentucky Wildcats45c61.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Kentucky Wildcats47c59.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9513447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky Wildcats46c59.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.272,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Texas A&M Aggies59c57.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.713056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Kentucky Wildcats47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kentucky Wildcats46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Texas A&M Aggies52c49.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.813445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Kentucky Wildcats45c44.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9158652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats41c44.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.215,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Texas A&M Aggies55c40.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3811552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x387b…c1a5backed Kentucky Wildcats49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Texas A&M Aggies28c38.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Kentucky Wildcats44c35.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.729747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396a…f2ffbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c32.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.872147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Kentucky Wildcats46c32.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas A&M Aggies50c31.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Texas A&M Aggies54c31.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Kentucky Wildcats45c29.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4516140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Kentucky Wildcats47c27.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Kentucky Wildcats47c27.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910045%45 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Kentucky Wildcats46c26.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b1…0a31backed Texas A&M Aggies56c26.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Kentucky Wildcats62c25.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.635554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf626…639cbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c24.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Kentucky Wildcats45c23.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7120834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Texas A&M Aggies54c23.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7116248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.