MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876240d73a95ffc030cd3773f7fd6b61f502cc62d7a247bc28f54b8b9f151fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Chicago Cubs, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 189,029$100,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,393.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 78,300$36,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,801 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 56,481$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,981.48 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 40,715$18,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,428.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 39,000$18,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,329.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 38,000$20,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,860 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 29,444$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,444.38 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 28,900$13,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,579.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 26,316$14,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,105.26 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 19,285$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,871.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 16,322$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.19 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 15,957$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 13,544$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.44 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 11,811$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 9,697$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 8,137$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 7,751$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,186$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.58 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 4,369$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.91 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,998$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 3,684$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.47 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,371$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.07 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,376$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.95 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,360$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Chicago Cubs | 7c | 2,203$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,026$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.63 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…7ddcbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,990$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 1,947$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,724$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,631$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.27 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,317$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.12 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 1,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.47 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,191$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.17 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,005$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.35 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 973$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.82 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 899.73$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 812.93$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.95 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 699.12$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 600.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 590$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 581.29$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 500.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 469.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 468.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.48 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 465.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 434.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 433.23$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.37 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 432.53$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 413.06$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 367.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 352.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 5c | 338.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 336.07$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 335.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 316.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 307.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 299.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 280.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 279.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 269$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.