Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06dba2eea29f5a283939f87dfb04d50eaeb35f8bad761ad16037ded5a8a2cfc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 22,480$13,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.32 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 21,004$8,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,621.76 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 8,539$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Indiana Hoosiers | 34c | 8,502$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.73 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Michigan State Spartans | 74c | 7,711$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 6,107$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 5,840$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 4,234$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.02 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 22c | 4,048$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 2,937$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.73 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 2,853$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 2,468$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 2,402$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.42 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 2,345$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.29 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 1,914$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 1,814$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.16 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Indiana Hoosiers | 28c | 1,719$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 1,675$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.02 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Hoosiers | 21c | 1,633$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.85 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan State Spartans | 76c | 1,371$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.33 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 1,072$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 3c | 1,029$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 999.52$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 771.55$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 724.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 24c | 664.07$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 644.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 605.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 557.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Michigan State Spartans | 58c | 557.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 557.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 548.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 525.94$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 519.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 74c | 497.98$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Indiana Hoosiers | 11c | 479.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 19c | 465.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 448.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 430.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 399.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana Hoosiers | 22c | 398.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 341.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Indiana Hoosiers | 7c | 303.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 297.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 19c | 293.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Indiana Hoosiers | 30c | 277.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 260.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 260.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0131…e181backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 257.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…ab1dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 242.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 237.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 5c | 235.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Michigan State Spartans | 69c | 234.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…72eabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 225.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 207.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 199.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…a47bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 180.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 170.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Indiana Hoosiers | 23c | 166.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…b373backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 161.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 154.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 135.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Indiana Hoosiers | 20c | 129.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 125.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 122.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 112.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 103.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 103.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 58c | 102.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 99.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 98.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 94.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 18c | 93.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Indiana Hoosiers | 22c | 89.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 86.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 85.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 41c | 85.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Hoosiers | 36c | 75.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 20c | 74.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Indiana Hoosiers | 20c | 74.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 68.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 40c | 66.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 64.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersthis page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.