Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e4e7e8c2b0f7a57482b24159dc7fc2e6f7727934bd4d19be6a0efa0103e20f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Miss Rebelsof Texas Longhorns, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ole Miss Rebels | 56c | 17,451$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,679.59 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Longhorns | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Longhorns | 44c | 7,227$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Longhorns | 47c | 607.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 378.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 326.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 315.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 223.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Longhorns | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 57c | 174.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 153.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 151.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Texas Longhorns | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 105.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…f2ffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 78.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Longhorns | 41c | 60.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 51.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 44.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-6.5)this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas LonghornsOle Miss Rebels won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 144.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 145.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.