Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed8c76cddefa1420e22a7f6b941c309a5ec7153bfd36ed7ecf310c33804b7ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Monteiroof Thiago Monteiro, Diego Dedura-Palomero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 11c | 14,008$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 6,229$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.61 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 3c | 5,338$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Thiago Monteiro | 59c | 1,698$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.94 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 997.23$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Thiago Monteiro | 55c | 890.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.93 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 33c | 614.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 543.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 497.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 4c | 414.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 28c | 331.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 322.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 298.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 285$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Monteiro | 69c | 254.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 250$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 41c | 222.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 220.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Thiago Monteiro | 50c | 184.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 182.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 164.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 146.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 9c | 140.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 119.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 30c | 111.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 32c | 110.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 38c | 104.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 93.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 27c | 83.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 64.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 56.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 53.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Thiago Monteiro | 55c | 50.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 36.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Thiago Monteiro | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 45c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Thiago Monteiro | 61c | 26.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Thiago Monteiro | 54c | 25.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 24.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Diego Dedura-Palomerothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Monteiro vs Dedura-PalomeroMonteiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.