Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09db20ce2698f500bdf1b4b9803e80859314f781c267a77571bff6c1e3250c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois State Redbirdsof Belmont Bruins, Illinois State Redbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 10,907$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.38 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 5,208$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Belmont Bruins | 55c | 4,642$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 3,663$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.53 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 3,512$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.95 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 3,373$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Illinois State Redbirds | 42c | 3,272$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.97 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 3,136$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.5 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 2,773$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.59 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 2,291$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.61 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 2,253$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.22 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 63c | 2,218$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.13 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Belmont Bruins | 55c | 2,051$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.65 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 2,042$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.13 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 2,011$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.35 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 1,933$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 1,927$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Belmont Bruins | 57c | 1,910$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 1,907$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belmont Bruins | 40c | 1,805$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 1,787$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.91 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds | 39c | 1,596$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 1,534$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.84 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Illinois State Redbirds | 42c | 1,518$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.57 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.13 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 1,145$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 1,032$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Belmont Bruins | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois State Redbirds | 41c | 829.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 724.39$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 51c | 718.56$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 631.39$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 605.31$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Belmont Bruins | 45c | 578.63$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 507.91$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 485.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Illinois State Redbirds | 52c | 446.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Illinois State Redbirds | 32c | 435.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 397.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Illinois State Redbirds | 44c | 391.3$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…d0acbacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 368.13$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Belmont Bruins | 42c | 304.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Belmont Bruins | 49c | 299.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 64c | 284.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Illinois State Redbirds | 52c | 265.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 233.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 207.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 198.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 197.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Belmont Bruins | 12c | 196.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Illinois State Redbirds | 37c | 194.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Illinois State Redbirds | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Belmont Bruins | 70c | 184.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 166.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…9ecabacked Belmont Bruins | 60c | 165.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 164.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 160.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Belmont Bruins | 53c | 145.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Belmont Bruins | 59c | 129.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Belmont Bruins | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Belmont Bruins | 51c | 116.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 39c | 114.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…da7fbacked Belmont Bruins | 45c | 110.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Belmont Bruins | 52c | 110.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 110.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…e19abacked Belmont Bruins | 55c | 107.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Illinois State Redbirds | 29c | 104.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 100.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 100.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 100.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Belmont Bruins | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Belmont Bruins | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Illinois State Redbirds | 37c | 86.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed Belmont Bruins | 60c | 82.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 78.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 42c | 70.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…8630backed Belmont Bruins | 58c | 60.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…5cb8backed Belmont Bruins | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…4ad4backed Illinois State Redbirds | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…8c12backed Belmont Bruins | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Illinois State Redbirds | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Illinois State Redbirds | 36c | 57.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Illinois State Redbirds | 61c | 55.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Illinois State Redbirds | 52c | 51.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Illinois State Redbirds | 38c | 51.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirdsthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-1.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.