Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4a05a544c453d48e4d7f7625644645d77dd9ff76ddab7efffe8e5182bef53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Chicago Ramblersof Davidson Wildcats, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 1,061$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 49c | 808.86$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.34 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 377.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 243.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 229.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 49c | 148.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 123.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Davidson Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Davidson Wildcats | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Davidson Wildcats | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 55.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Davidson Wildcats | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 28.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 50c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-6.5)this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson WildcatsDavidson Wildcats won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5Under won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-7.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.