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Tennis · resolved market

Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Juan Carlos Prado

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Carlos Pradoof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Juan Carlos Prado
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Juan Carlos Prado52c19,139$9,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,224.42,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva71c10,050$7,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,178.5555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Juan Carlos Prado24c4,145$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.471,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva52c3,637$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.6521147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva59c3,371$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.8425062.8%157 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva54c2,789$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.679250%46 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Juan Carlos Prado46c2,609$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.741645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva32c2,533$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.2213439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Joao Lucas Da Silva50c2,056$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6822553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva68c1,989$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.851,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Joao Lucas Da Silva61c1,882$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.3130241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Joao Lucas Da Silva55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Carlos Prado31c1,808$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.426,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Juan Carlos Prado39c1,724$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.461,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joao Lucas Da Silva55c1,298$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.494,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Juan Carlos Prado41c1,047$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.052,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva23c856.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9216830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Juan Carlos Prado45c784.63$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6399139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Joao Lucas Da Silva27c622.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Joao Lucas Da Silva50c595.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Juan Carlos Prado49c590$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.916648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Lucas Da Silva70c509.7$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.666,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Joao Lucas Da Silva36c458.05$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.053348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva60c440$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.117365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Juan Carlos Prado43c404.84$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.722,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Juan Carlos Prado28c383.48$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.879824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Joao Lucas Da Silva61c377.07$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.011,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Lucas Da Silva45c353.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.172,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Joao Lucas Da Silva23c340.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.331,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Joao Lucas Da Silva61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Juan Carlos Prado36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7819938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Juan Carlos Prado24c275.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8327935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Juan Carlos Prado68c271$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.839751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Juan Carlos Prado28c221$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Joao Lucas Da Silva60c204.45$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0237854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7131039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3254450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Juan Carlos Prado59c192.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0343058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva50c171$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva75c146.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva53c146.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.852,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Juan Carlos Prado76c141.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.282,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva23c131.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Juan Carlos Prado53c128.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2213648.5%66 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Carlos Prado40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Juan Carlos Prado40c117$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.22,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Juan Carlos Prado63c114.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva23c111.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5411417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Joao Lucas Da Silva50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Juan Carlos Prado72c107$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.431952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Juan Carlos Prado33c105.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9730351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva50c100.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.084656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Juan Carlos Prado46c81.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81c…0a81backed Joao Lucas Da Silva73c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva64c77.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508958.4%52 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Juan Carlos Prado41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva60c59.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.614541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Carlos Prado52c57.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.597,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Joao Lucas Da Silva36c52.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.073,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Juan Carlos Prado40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Juan Carlos Prado49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3c4…510bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva34c44.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva61c44.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Juan Carlos Prado43c42.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva59c42.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef9…916abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva52c42.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.027841%32 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Juan Carlos Prado40c41.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Juan Carlos Prado33c40.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.258231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Joao Lucas Da Silva60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Carlos Prado63c31.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.544,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Joao Lucas Da Silva57c29.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Juan Carlos Prado70c27.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva61c26.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7577047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Juan Carlos Prado52c22.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5138460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Joao Lucas Da Silva61c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127263.9%46 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.