TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,103 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c21,161$16,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,095.782,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c9,043$6,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes25c7,177$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.2515534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c6,163$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.381,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes25c5,552$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3882638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes24c4,236$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.68939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes25c4,223$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.7530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes25c3,572$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c2,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes16c2,769$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c2,616$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06c9…58abbacked Yes1c2,520$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c2,280$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,708$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.421,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes26c1,553$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.264431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes25c1,098$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.529458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c862$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c857.76$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c741.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.131,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes27c717$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.43650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+94.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes15c560.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.042245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes5c541.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d34…2ae5backed Yes17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes3c452.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c450.87$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.721,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes14c419.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4227141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c301.25$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c259.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes16c248$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.737227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Yes17c238.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Yes16c238.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eca…bab3backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…4bdbbacked Yes13c185.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes15c185$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes22c182.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes17c164.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c131.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4122658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes25c109.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2710752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…7f58backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No75c99.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.337657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes20c98.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No75c92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…09d4backed Yes25c86.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…45f6backed Yes25c85.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d43…42a8backed Yes25c80.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46966.7%46 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c78.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8420…3f35backed Yes25c78.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616c…7b8bbacked Yes25c75.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked No79c72.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.172050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes27c70.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.024440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45ab…53f3backed Yes25c69.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c63.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No75c61.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3310052%52 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No75c59.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0611965.5%78 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c55.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No76c54.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.14156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No75c54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5529855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.540157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No76c41.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.844967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82d…5fd3backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016250.6%82 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a2…7589backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.786762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc4…a36fbacked No74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…e49ebacked No76c31.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…678bbacked No76c30.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.