Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e192c31762023bbe5ac7ec55e67cb330ae86e3d2a49d4190553444b7ea127bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Longhornsof LSU Tigers, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed LSU Tigers | 15c | 122,222$18,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,333.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed LSU Tigers | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 8c | 5,028$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed LSU Tigers | 10c | 4,755$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.09 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 1c | 3,669$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 2,058$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed LSU Tigers | 15c | 1,782$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LSU Tigers | 19c | 1,611$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 1,333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 945.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 721.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed LSU Tigers | 5c | 699.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 690.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked LSU Tigers | 19c | 686.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 647$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 628.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed LSU Tigers | 7c | 628$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 624.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 611.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 556.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 520$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 489$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 13c | 417.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 309.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked LSU Tigers | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LSU Tigers | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed LSU Tigers | 18c | 248.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 230.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked LSU Tigers | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Texas Longhorns | 78c | 182.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas Longhorns | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 159.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed LSU Tigers | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked LSU Tigers | 9c | 115.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…3ce0backed LSU Tigers | 18c | 111.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked LSU Tigers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked LSU Tigers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked LSU Tigers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed LSU Tigers | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 86.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Texas Longhorns | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked LSU Tigers | 21c | 84.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Texas Longhorns | 76c | 75.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…940fbacked LSU Tigers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…a600backed Texas Longhorns | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Texas Longhorns | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Texas Longhorns | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhornsthis page
- LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 150.5Over won
- LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-10.5)LSU Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-11.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.