TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida Gatorsof Kentucky Wildcats, Florida Gators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Kentucky Wildcats6c4,469$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.811,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats2c3,873$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Kentucky Wildcats14c3,101$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.127727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kentucky Wildcats12c2,822$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.621,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kentucky Wildcats12c2,336$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kentucky Wildcats12c2,331$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.471,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Kentucky Wildcats12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Kentucky Wildcats10c1,653$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats8c1,624$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kentucky Wildcats10c1,336$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.973,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Kentucky Wildcats11c1,130$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12715733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Kentucky Wildcats6c1,085$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Kentucky Wildcats2c1,003$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…4a65backed Kentucky Wildcats9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Kentucky Wildcats9c852.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Kentucky Wildcats14c735.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kentucky Wildcats14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky Wildcats11c633.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kentucky Wildcats11c621.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.092,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked Kentucky Wildcats17c462.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Kentucky Wildcats15c458.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2140849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Kentucky Wildcats10c445$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Kentucky Wildcats11c431.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.316436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Kentucky Wildcats14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Kentucky Wildcats8c342.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Kentucky Wildcats15c303.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kentucky Wildcats12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a4…42e1backed Kentucky Wildcats17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Kentucky Wildcats15c299.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Kentucky Wildcats12c292$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Kentucky Wildcats16c252.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kentucky Wildcats13c245.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kentucky Wildcats13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9387…674ebacked Kentucky Wildcats16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Kentucky Wildcats8c189.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Kentucky Wildcats8c159.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.416636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3e…ded4backed Kentucky Wildcats10c157.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc030…22e4backed Kentucky Wildcats10c154.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Kentucky Wildcats13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Kentucky Wildcats12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188234.1%28 W · 54 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Kentucky Wildcats9c123.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Kentucky Wildcats13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kentucky Wildcats12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Kentucky Wildcats10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kentucky Wildcats11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1692…9c57backed Kentucky Wildcats14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d36…9555backed Kentucky Wildcats14c91.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats12c83.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Kentucky Wildcats13c81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Kentucky Wildcats13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0117634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Florida Gators66c75.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Kentucky Wildcats34c44.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2222730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.