Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09725362fee98236709f51ac795e1f407101060c07c66ad127645017d09465f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 47c | 47,994$22,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,541.58 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 54c | 22,000$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 9,578$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 54c | 6,703$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.58 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 2,197$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.59 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.9 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 53c | 984.15$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.96 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 52c | 673$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 638$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 330$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 54c | 307.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 53c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 53c | 22.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 153.5this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 152.5Over won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5Over won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-12.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.