Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5426f7b77b2bef493569e92d55f3f7a0a1a11f1ff6a8eb851cf368a858734836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 57,943$28,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,659.32 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 23,000$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,040 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 13,886$7,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 13,311$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 10,748$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,448.57 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 9,080$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 52c | 7,243$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.57 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 7,071$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.27 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 49c | 2,601$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 1,013$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 854$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 839$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Under | 51c | 494$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 397.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 321.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 130.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 130.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 50c | 37.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 152.5Over won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 153.5Over won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-12.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.