NBA · resolved market
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x421bf4d42c7309fa60e9a97228043d7d9b4944f23eddaaa34cc7edce425fd7a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 33c | 3,012$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.06 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed No | 76c | 1,667$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 1,352$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 24c | 1,280$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 824.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed No | 76c | 742.63$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 727.91$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 705.8$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 80c | 658$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 20c | 636.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 624.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 616.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 563$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 529$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 75c | 476.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 68c | 416$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 23c | 408.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 75c | 391.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 389.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 366$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 71c | 356.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…d064backed Yes | 19c | 338.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 330.6$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 80c | 324.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Yes | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 25c | 278$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 79c | 265.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 258.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 251$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 74c | 245.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 74c | 245$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked No | 76c | 218$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 23c | 189.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 18c | 175.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 172.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…449dbacked Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 24c | 153.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 16c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 67c | 138.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 131.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 77c | 116.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 99.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Yes | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 90.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 23c | 88.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 50.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…b11dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…28f3backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 79c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No won
- Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.