NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b5ed4e63376c651a25e167706965d82045b9c061001dad9b2e4b17dc720004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Clippers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Kings | 51c | 83,489$42,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,909.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 49c | 51,355$25,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,371.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 50c | 22,404$11,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,230.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 55c | 19,518$10,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,751.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings | 47c | 13,291$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.49 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 49c | 12,365$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 45c | 7,583$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers | 53c | 7,424$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.97 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Clippers | 1c | 6,815$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Kings | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 53c | 5,067$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 49c | 4,766$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Kings | 50c | 3,840$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 48c | 3,446$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Kings | 50c | 3,384$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 55c | 3,371$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 45c | 3,294$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers | 54c | 3,270$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.04 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Clippers | 51c | 3,152$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Clippers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 45c | 2,680$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Clippers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 49c | 2,265$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Clippers | 48c | 2,265$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.61 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Clippers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Kings | 49c | 1,994$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Clippers | 51c | 1,994$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 52c | 1,828$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Kings | 47c | 1,584$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Clippers | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Kings | 50c | 1,478$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 53c | 1,457$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 51c | 1,421$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.15 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 9c | 1,280$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.09 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 38c | 1,013$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.27 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Kings | 55c | 977.88$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 47c | 955.52$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 44c | 937.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Kings | 47c | 827.66$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.66 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Kings | 50c | 764.08$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.08 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Kings | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 51c | 737.69$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.47 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings | 49c | 706.12$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.12 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers | 51c | 689.19$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Kings | 50c | 666.93$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.93 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers | 45c | 655$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Clippers | 65c | 632.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.7 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings | 51c | 577.02$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.74 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clippers | 61c | 511.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Clippers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Clippers | 51c | 452$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 51c | 430.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 50c | 404$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Kings | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers | 51c | 370.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 47c | 365.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 45c | 316.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 50c | 283.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings | 52c | 273.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kings | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 53c | 222.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 27c | 207.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers | 48c | 206.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…ca0bbacked Kings | 52c | 200.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Clippers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Kings | 49c | 189.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Clippers | 53c | 183.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Kings | 50c | 180.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Clippers | 49c | 179.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Clippers | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Clippers | 50c | 166.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Kings | 51c | 158.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Clippers | 45c | 158.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Clippers | 65c | 158.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Clippers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kings | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Clippers | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers | 56c | 121.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Clippers | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 49c | 118.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 46c | 116.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Clippers | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Clippers | 46c | 112.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Kings | 46c | 111.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- Clippers vs. KingsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Over won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.