TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Kings55c91,000$50,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,95040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Clippers45c60,810$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,500.3911653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Kings52c53,671$27,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,719.5860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c42,639$20,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,888.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Clippers45c40,500$18,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2255534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings51c28,580$14,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,004.21,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings51c14,259$7,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,029.51,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Clippers48c13,542$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers49c13,445$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,587.9971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…3dbcbacked Clippers48c13,250$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Clippers44c10,950$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.987653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Clippers48c10,380$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.8831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Clippers48c9,858$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,73517454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers48c9,402$4,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,548.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Clippers46c9,130$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings50c7,000$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.481,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers47c6,949$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers48c6,875$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Clippers49c5,949$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c5,882$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Kings56c5,275$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.1148347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Kings55c5,101$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.537552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings52c5,015$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.362,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Clippers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Clippers48c4,481$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.1110048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Clippers47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers48c4,156$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings53c3,706$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Clippers46c3,616$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.2224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Kings54c3,519$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.529051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers48c3,331$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.833447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings54c3,173$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Clippers45c2,790$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.520355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings54c2,758$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.8276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Clippers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Clippers47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17520945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings52c2,250$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Clippers46c2,059$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Kings53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7916042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Clippers45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81018553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings51c1,749$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings51c1,717$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.332,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings54c1,659$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.6865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Kings53c1,608$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.9541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Clippers46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Clippers47c1,268$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…97debacked Clippers48c1,140$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clippers47c1,108$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings50c1,008$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.0482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Clippers48c945.83$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings60c890.37$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings53c828.9$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28245647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers49c516.84$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings54c461$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.061,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kings49c420.12$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.31,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kings54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4126640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Kings53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings54c399.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0943544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Kings52c398.97$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5118446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Kings52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Clippers46c362$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5214742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Kings55c303.22$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.456653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Kings53c298.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Kings50c267.18$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5918343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Kings65c261.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Kings14c259.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9535844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clippers47c249.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers48c244.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.552,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers49c240.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.871,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Kings56c228.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Clippers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Clippers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Clippers48c208.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Kings52c205.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8244844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Kings55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe223…f02bbacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Clippers47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Kings50c198.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2736453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers45c196.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Kings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0815052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Kings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0828554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Clippers59c169.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Kings54c166.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6718256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers45c162.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c158.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.73,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Clippers49c156.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Kings53c151$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9721045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Kings53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.547045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.