TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65f0…4c1fbacked Under0c17,900$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over52c5,850$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8082142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Under48c5,850$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8082133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcebf…0706backed Under48c5,780$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Over52c5,780$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under73c5,228$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.7483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…0505backed Under49c4,769$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c4,521$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,194$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,010$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c3,656$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over52c3,489$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.5338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfb…2d24backed Over51c2,482$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under70c2,340$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.991,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over31c2,105$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.4713442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f2…c5d4backed Over51c2,011$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Under1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over29c1,502$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.123,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,385$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c1,266$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.682,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under66c1,080$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Over26c1,000$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3137930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over29c863.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.863,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Under49c825$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.23435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under68c728.53$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Over24c630.13$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.92425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over27c595.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.736741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over37c590.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.61,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c505.53$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under69c464.6$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5131144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over11c449.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c429.43$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over42c428.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over35c389.57$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0210156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under64c374.38$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under70c337.36$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.62,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c330.28$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c316$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.681,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c298.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.081,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd274…2e4dbacked Over51c276$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over26c250.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3724330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c249.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.982,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over53c228.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.38851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c224.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under77c213.83$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.853756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…4f0fbacked Over53c208.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under74c204.96$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0119050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c193.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c188.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over48c162.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Over37c158.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5312458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82da…12f3backed Over46c140.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Under72c139.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under75c125.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.726149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Under49c121.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.963330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over30c115.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.629430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over23c109.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.761,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c106.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe0…a0bcbacked Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4730836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over23c93.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Under69c89.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.29642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over13c80$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.622140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under79c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.253852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over38c74.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under61c72.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.091,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c72.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under71c70.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under70c68.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.611,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over42c58.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.046053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.610659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over52c53.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7736453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under78c51.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.212,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c8…b095backed Over30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under71c38.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed9…d709backed Under80c35.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1797…71d4backed Over41c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Over44c30.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4319750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2478…52d7backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Under74c26.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under71c24.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Under69c23.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6428856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c50…4e1ebacked Under49c21.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7549358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd2…a7aebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under55c18.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.011,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.