Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Barça eSports GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f166c53b09cf1b183fb3e4950bee42e0ac18645213e518416039b55d052a158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSports GCof Barça eSports GC, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Barça eSports GC | 55c | 2,842$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.09 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Barça eSports GC | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.09 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 1,915$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.38 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 717.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 712.69$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Barça eSports GC | 52c | 441.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FOKUS Sakura | 41c | 340.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 309.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 242.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 210.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed FOKUS Sakura | 51c | 207.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Barça eSports GC | 50c | 193.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barça eSports GC | 53c | 174.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Barça eSports GC | 54c | 173$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Barça eSports GC | 59c | 154.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Barça eSports GC | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Barça eSports GC | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 95.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Barça eSports GC | 53c | 92.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Barça eSports GC | 52c | 92.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 88.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Barça eSports GC | 50c | 87.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 86.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Barça eSports GC | 56c | 68.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Barça eSports GC | 52c | 61.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 53.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Barça eSports GC | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed FOKUS Sakura | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Barça eSports GC | 55c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 41.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Barça eSports GC | 54c | 38.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Barça eSports GC | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…72c0backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.