World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3aab5152a4ca14f80ef4db5b661519df57ab925d37c577acd7b6c48ff5a9ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,943$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 25c | 580.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 373.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 359.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 76c | 299.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 32c | 294.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 264.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 73c | 264.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…24a9backed Yes | 13c | 238.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…4428backed Yes | 37c | 210.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 28c | 207.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 14c | 179.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 168.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 77c | 166.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 165.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 29c | 149.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 26c | 148.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 147.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 146.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 145.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 78c | 140.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 72c | 139.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 138.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 27c | 134.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 30c | 131.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…bad9backed No | 77c | 130.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 116.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 36c | 113.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…56e8backed Yes | 45c | 110.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 34c | 101.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 72c | 100.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 22c | 100.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 42c | 100.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 30c | 98.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 31c | 98.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 31c | 91.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 77c | 90.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 89.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 26c | 84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 83.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 30c | 83.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…7852backed Yes | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 77.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 76.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 74.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 24c | 74.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 44c | 72.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 74c | 70.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…31d4backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked No | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 34c | 54.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 62c | 52.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 52.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 61c | 49.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 25c | 46.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 45.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…d6ccbacked Yes | 33c | 45.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 28c | 41.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…818ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bdafbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 38.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 37.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 75c | 33.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 74c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.