World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904d26627d84323813bac90418bde2daafff0f50c4066f3bc6fbfc6f26077609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked No | 1c | 2,323$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 10c | 999.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 65c | 719.42$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 22c | 495.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…a68abacked Yes | 32c | 475.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 467.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 373.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 52c | 369.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 10c | 366.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 78c | 354.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 52c | 326.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 307.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 282.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 280.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 16c | 278.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 48c | 275.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 42c | 275.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 275$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 250.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 242.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 212.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 45c | 204.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 44c | 203.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 58c | 198.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 197.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 56c | 182.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 181.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 175.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 60c | 166.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 152.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 45c | 149.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 51c | 146.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 8c | 141.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 57c | 139.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 21c | 136.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 127.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 42c | 118.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 54c | 111.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 110.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 61c | 108.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 55c | 103.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 40c | 101.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 52c | 100.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 47c | 92.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 45c | 92.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 91.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 44c | 90.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…56e8backed Yes | 38c | 84.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 43c | 83.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 37c | 81.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 50c | 77.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 44c | 75.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 52c | 74.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 58c | 74.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 70.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 58c | 69.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 46c | 66.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…186bbacked Yes | 58c | 66.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 55c | 66.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…b976backed No | 46c | 63.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 47c | 61.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 48c | 61.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 59.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 75c | 59.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 47c | 58.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 46c | 58.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 50c | 49.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 27c | 48.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 52c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 59c | 45.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 43.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 63c | 41.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bdafbacked Yes | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 63c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 37.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 45c | 37.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked No | 64c | 36.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 37c | 35.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 55c | 35.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…e3dcbacked Yes | 52c | 34.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 74c | 33.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 79c | 33.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 34c | 33.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.