TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs49c34,005$16,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,794.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pelicans53c23,874$12,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,232.4917354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans50c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9251350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Spurs49c9,500$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6556352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Spurs47c8,527$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans48c8,222$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.1974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs50c7,794$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs50c6,907$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.162,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8955…b51dbacked Spurs51c5,559$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs52c4,149$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.093,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pelicans52c4,070$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.6517658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs47c3,999$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.5544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803e…b070backed Spurs51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans51c3,048$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.531,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans47c2,765$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.991,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Spurs53c2,538$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Pelicans47c2,538$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebf…0706backed Spurs49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…58c9backed Pelicans51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…55ebbacked Spurs49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Pelicans51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans51c2,064$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8351753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Spurs48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans52c1,922$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.1776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs48c1,906$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.051,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Pelicans49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96916339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans48c1,868$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans52c1,674$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.521,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pelicans51c1,635$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.3822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Spurs47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75215653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs49c1,470$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.323546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs50c1,448$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pelicans52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans52c1,439$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.591,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans51c1,342$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.752,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Spurs47c1,229$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6711653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Pelicans50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Spurs50c1,114$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2150047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Spurs47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Spurs48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d59…778dbacked Pelicans49c979.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans50c915.65$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Spurs47c893.62$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs51c846.93$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.893,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs49c723.9$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.592,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Pelicans50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Spurs49c450$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.39647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Spurs47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Spurs49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Spurs47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18840346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Spurs51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20214445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs48c342.91$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans52c342$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs50c340.02$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.012,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Pelicans50c322$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16143453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Spurs50c305.26$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2629458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs47c290.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.432,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs51c278$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…6063backed Pelicans50c273.8$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+60.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Pelicans50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12532450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd976…7050backed Spurs50c248$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Pelicans50c235$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.58151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Spurs50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Pelicans48c209.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8511445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Spurs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Spurs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006659.1%39 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Pelicans50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Pelicans52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9634447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Spurs52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10416346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Spurs75c199.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9916669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Spurs51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…83abbacked Spurs50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Pelicans53c170.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x515e…cf91backed Pelicans50c158.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…e256backed Spurs51c150.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Spurs50c146.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda84…ad33backed Spurs51c136.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef6d…e751backed Spurs49c124.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Spurs51c119.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7410045%45 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…25debacked Spurs51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-79%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Spurs51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Spurs51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x82fa…d857backed Spurs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Pelicans52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Spurs47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4793041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Spurs52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5218558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8657…5741backed Pelicans21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2425243.7%110 W · 142 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Spurs50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb5…b8d6backed Spurs55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.