NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa653de01bd3809e68f7d3d5674937cec56f51aa603653a7b8ac8d8ee3da529b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf2e…05f0backed Under | 48c | 4,207$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.01 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 802.23$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 764.07$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 302.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 57c | 244.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 206.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 44c | 203.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 157.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 57c | 112$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 52c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Over | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Spurs vs. PelicansSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.