NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29397b2450e82456a6c368a14f45296d114419fa65cf0f623207726f72bc84ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,631$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Under | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Over | 50c | 2,080$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…05f0backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Under | 52c | 1,177$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 521.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 53c | 495.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 495$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 55c | 185.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 48c | 78.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 51c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…2674backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Spurs vs. PelicansSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.