TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Spurs45c65,000$29,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,249.9611535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans55c45,515$25,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,342.462,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Spurs46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5206352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs45c11,400$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…a087backed Pelicans55c9,787$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,431.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62f…2808backed Pelicans55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Pelicans52c7,718$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.63043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb22e…6e6dbacked Pelicans55c7,313$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans55c7,131$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.9569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33a…9bf3backed Spurs48c4,767$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans55c4,088$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs44c4,040$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Pelicans51c3,337$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.0116339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Spurs44c3,333$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5228850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs46c2,906$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.652,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Pelicans55c2,475$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.5512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs47c2,026$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Spurs48c1,960$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.957347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans55c1,619$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs47c1,541$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Pelicans55c1,409$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.0924051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs49c1,227$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Spurs44c1,041$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0525642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans53c952.7$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.553,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs47c631.59$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs47c627$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Spurs44c570.2$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.896442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23534645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Spurs46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007848.7%38 W · 40 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Spurs46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Spurs46c430$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.79647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6423550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Pelicans55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.644252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e17…f5c4backed Pelicans51c351.59$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Pelicans55c314$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.35750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Pelicans55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13523058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9232450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9444654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Pelicans55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9065855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pelicans55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8236649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5766153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans53c177.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Spurs47c173.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2152643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb742…126abacked Spurs50c156.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans54c150.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans53c149.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs46c142.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Spurs44c115.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7bc3…90e2backed Pelicans53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Spurs48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Spurs43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4393041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Pelicans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb630…00edbacked Spurs50c81.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+53.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb14…e0c6backed Spurs50c79.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Spurs76c68.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0622347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans24c68.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.063,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Pelicans55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6415752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Pelicans54c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9150047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked Spurs48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d7…ea66backed Spurs48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Pelicans57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8617350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Spurs46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3f…25debacked Spurs50c42.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-79%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Spurs48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…7976backed Spurs49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Pelicans55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Pelicans55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1819748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Pelicans55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1810261.8%63 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Pelicans51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Pelicans57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0924452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Pelicans56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Pelicans53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.984645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Spurs47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Spurs48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9537…5cb0backed Spurs44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Pelicans55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Spurs46c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.458725.3%22 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.