NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bbd957f90ebd5fb604787c0316fa5eab55f5abda6ba896e994eaf47dcf6b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27dc…5f55backed Under | 49c | 9,850$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…a117backed Over | 51c | 9,850$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f0…4091backed Under | 50c | 8,680$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 7,999$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.73 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 54c | 6,067$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.82 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,179$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…05f0backed Under | 50c | 4,566$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Over | 54c | 2,319$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 2,025$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.7 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 1,263$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.29 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 513$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 140.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…9033backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 50c | 87.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 51c | 78.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Spurs vs. PelicansSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.