Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c8118660e69e7c55e5ec9f2a61bf5d076a530af21988e55d2816aba7a1b3bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,124 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 33,646$16,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,822.9 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 33,351$16,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,675.7 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 9,620$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.4 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 50c | 8,741$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,367.46 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 7,896$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.75 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 7,729$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.75 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 50c | 7,626$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,200$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 5,950$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.47 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 50c | 3,304$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.92 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 2,820$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.45 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,330$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.7 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,093$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Under | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.66 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Under | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 52c | 991.26$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 51c | 978.37$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.97 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 959$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 955.34$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.22 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 809.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 657.2$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.17 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 49c | 640.35$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.58 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 632.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…833fbacked Over | 49c | 421.22$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 52c | 419.38$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 48c | 374.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 49c | 305.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 49c | 303.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 296.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 49c | 271.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 198.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Over | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 186.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 52c | 152.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 49c | 141.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Over | 52c | 137.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked Under | 49c | 137.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 128.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 108.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Under | 49c | 105.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Under | 49c | 105.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 51c | 102.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 49c | 78.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 49c | 57.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 53.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 52c | 30.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 157.5this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-4.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU CougarsTexas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 158.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 166.5Under won
- Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 169.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.