Premier League · resolved market
Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3b36c0a75fb6bfc7119c4be796b99477afc0e97306e95467bc557eca9f9c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,175$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 42c | 1,669$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 1,431$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.66 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 788.9$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.54 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 444.53$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Under | 60c | 368.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 312.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 149.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 54c | 137.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 58.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 37c | 52.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 70c | 50.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 50.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 32.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Lincoln City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.