Premier League · resolved market
Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa76010eafe94580e70731ca08e0125b4cc4a57ae6b55da29565d111feec4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 52c | 1,991$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,505$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.7 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 586.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 53c | 550.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 390.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.63 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 370.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 264$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 262.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 47c | 226.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Under | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Under | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 53c | 141.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 139.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 53c | 136.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 22c | 75.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 47c | 56.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 40.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 39.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 53c | 36.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 31.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 52c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…41d4backed Over | 50c | 25.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Lincoln City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.