Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad339d8a52251a87eb9b61a14704b99fa7d1998f8b2d9f61dcb67d5ac546f71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 40c | 7,224$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.61 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 1,366$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 8c | 1,090$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.08 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 8c | 1,057$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.01 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 8c | 1,037$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.39 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 977.47$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 8c | 964.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.29 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 880.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 845.18$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…5211backed Under | 1c | 752.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 46c | 588.38$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Under | 5c | 585.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 7c | 519.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 14c | 464.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 14c | 450$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 445.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 20c | 382.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.03 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 63c | 286.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 40c | 242.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 19c | 226.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 55c | 222.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 8c | 220.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Over | 13c | 218.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +463.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 208.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 199.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 158.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 8c | 150.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 71c | 145.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 78c | 120.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 33c | 119.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 13c | 101.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 29c | 94.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 21c | 92.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Over | 61c | 92.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Over | 46c | 84.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 25c | 72.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 42c | 72.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 55c | 70.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 17c | 61.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 39.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…dd39backed Under | 37c | 33.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 43c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 63c | 26.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 46c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Under | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.