Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5da8518fbb35939b0d089f82dcf0437c2717fdaad7a4dae019978995a35623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Gujarat Titans, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Gujarat Titans | 54c | 763.86$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…4f03backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 448$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Mumbai Indians | 46c | 404.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 399.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 174.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 164.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 102.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 98.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…84cebacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 79.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 77.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +608.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…f8bdbacked Mumbai Indians | 46c | 76.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…d7eabacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 56.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…deb2backed Mumbai Indians | 44c | 51.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…7748backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…dfd4backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 37.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…28ebbacked Gujarat Titans | 56c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…94ffbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…5e5fbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 25.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4677…70dabacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Gujarat Titans | 77c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai IndiansMumbai Indians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.