CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5ea577f0d4aa8cb9b4d9f40c87333b3cdf3adebb4d111a6bee18bca031ac31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 3,652$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 3,511$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Over | 78c | 2,893$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Under | 53c | 2,447$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.1 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 19c | 1,582$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 79c | 1,186$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 28c | 697.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 66c | 604.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 37c | 599$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 46c | 519.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 47c | 503.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 61c | 483.68$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Under | 31c | 323.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 313.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 288.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 52c | 250.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 249.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 48c | 229.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Under | 28c | 209.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…214ebacked Over | 49c | 200.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 45c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 105.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 31c | 78.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 67.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Over | 47c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…cde6backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked Under | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46f…4925backed Over | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…842ebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 58c | 32.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Under | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 47c | 28.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.