TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof G2, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION58c2,257$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9553,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed G253c1,991$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.127450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed PARIVISION55c1,251$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7517460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed G233c1,179$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.073154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION67c1,100$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36326743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked PARIVISION67c799.01$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0818654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION67c788.76$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.291,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked G232c707.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.311148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed G245c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G233c594.53$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.965,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed PARIVISION68c490.67$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.081,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked G245c431.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed G229c421.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0738848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed PARIVISION72c405.47$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4721063.3%133 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION68c388.88$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.492,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed G232c374.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked G233c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed G233c287.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c75…8a96backed G233c230.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed PARIVISION68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed PARIVISION68c207.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1914929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked PARIVISION48c186.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1214441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed PARIVISION68c154.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.818246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked PARIVISION66c152.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.365257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G232c120.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ab…4dc5backed G242c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013241.7%55 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed G232c110.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.528740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed PARIVISION70c100.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.019046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed G245c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked G227c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2758254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked G232c81.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.078436.9%31 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed G233c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.427454.7%150 W · 124 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked G251c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.818248.9%89 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2068…e0e7backed G257c70.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed G232c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.425446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked PARIVISION72c69.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3348566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed G244c65.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9222651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked G232c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed G230c59.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7912856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G233c58.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed G240c49.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed G232c43.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410854.6%59 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed PARIVISION69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked PARIVISION47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5516946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…67e8backed PARIVISION63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked PARIVISION54c37.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4527452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed PARIVISION68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5298248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed PARIVISION69c30.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3921650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION69c29.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0342057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc334…fd2ebacked PARIVISION70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed PARIVISION57c20.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9511259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ca…61e4backed PARIVISION68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.