Dota2 · resolved market
ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed38745091aab4d05900620c167726b6ab2d47e74f17f0d710eee9800f50990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yes | 8c | 599.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 475$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed Yes | 16c | 465$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed No | 56c | 388.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Yes | 8c | 364.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed Yes | 43c | 250.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yes | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 7c | 149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…1f93backed Yes | 11c | 124.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 32c | 111.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 62c | 43.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Yes | 34c | 34.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…799cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…cf01backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?this page
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?Yes won
- ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.