Dota2 · resolved market
GamerLegion to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6690f66822b79eb0391a63be36ea1a0fa3f0a1b1613580900272409ea27df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 5c | 18,878$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.02 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 0c | 7,406$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 4,023$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed No | 26c | 3,841$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.73 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yes | 48c | 2,074$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.45 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 31c | 1,047$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 18c | 1,020$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 39c | 483.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 37c | 475$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…70e3backed No | 5c | 455$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Yes | 76c | 394.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Yes | 48c | 300.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 60c | 298.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 218.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed Yes | 62c | 215$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Yes | 58c | 130.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yes | 70c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Yes | 77c | 129.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Yes | 46c | 93.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 78.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked No | 46c | 44.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 34c | 43.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 60c | 34.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…11eebacked Yes | 59c | 33.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?this page
- ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?No won
- ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.