Dota2 · resolved market
ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd5025a4093226ad8ee1203f55eb985e244e0d00d5c094ea1796957900b825f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 3c | 13,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Yes | 2c | 9,629$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 6c | 8,825$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,506$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Yes | 2c | 5,908$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Yes | 7c | 5,588$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +474.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yes | 1c | 4,970$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,750$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Yes | 1c | 3,049$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…4d2bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,032$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,883$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Yes | 6c | 2,607$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,933$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,651$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,572$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 6c | 525.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 7c | 519.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 507.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 4c | 410.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 65c | 346$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 35c | 346$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Yes | 8c | 122.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 70c | 47.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked No | 62c | 21.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?this page
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?Yes won
- ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.