Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe206524beadedb35c24b41aeed599a0a52e137195ead6de145451dcd1b6c6d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Chennai Super Kings, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Gujarat Titans | 46c | 382.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Chennai Super Kings | 9c | 278.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…dc75backed Chennai Super Kings | 21c | 259.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Gujarat Titans | 54c | 196.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Chennai Super Kings | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Gujarat Titans | 77c | 65.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +608.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…0a43backed Chennai Super Kings | 54c | 59.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…8749backed Chennai Super Kings | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 51.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 42.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 39.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…d024backed Chennai Super Kings | 54c | 29.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…99e6backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Chennai Super Kings | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…94bcbacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…34f3backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…28ebbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.