CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa2f13dcc4bb204c02512e685bbbcffdd1a06cc79cc7db92f6f07844699236e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Under | 1c | 7,860$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +1,949.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Under | 1c | 6,724$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Under | 10c | 3,470$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Under | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…d1e7backed Under | 3c | 1,288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…0482backed Under | 1c | 786.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed Under | 2c | 750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Over | 79c | 699.42$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…f85ebacked Under | 2c | 612.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 398.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 52c | 371.2$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Under | 62c | 323.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 126.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +511.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 67c | 59.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…4b7cbacked Over | 37c | 30.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Over | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor PlayoffsG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.