CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10ffb049a356ccb94a783dbfb2d12779afbaccdece4216c039148bf4faeb991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof WW Team, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed WW Team | 13c | 5,948$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed G2 Ares | 66c | 2,810$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked WW Team | 37c | 2,403$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.74 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked WW Team | 38c | 2,200$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed G2 Ares | 63c | 2,020$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.31 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed G2 Ares | 62c | 1,905$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 1,787$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.42 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…0f06backed WW Team | 49c | 1,784$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed WW Team | 8c | 1,491$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WW Team | 38c | 1,452$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.35 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked G2 Ares | 78c | 930$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…70a5backed WW Team | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…9c9dbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 142.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed G2 Ares | 69c | 141.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…c84dbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed WW Team | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed G2 Ares | 57c | 87.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…9faebacked G2 Ares | 57c | 52.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked WW Team | 64c | 51.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed G2 Ares | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked G2 Ares | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed G2 Ares | 55c | 36.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed WW Team | 39c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed G2 Ares | 77c | 32.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed WW Team | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +511.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed WW Team | 43c | 23.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked G2 Ares | 75c | 21.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…091abacked G2 Ares | 55c | 18.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed G2 Ares | 60c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed G2 Ares | 65c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked G2 Ares | 65c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked G2 Ares | 70c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed G2 Ares | 75c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed G2 Ares | 75c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor PlayoffsG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.