CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e153ec0879651583fe0d3622e97df47ab9de56e92407df6077f678e94457876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed WW Team | 10c | 8,045$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.43 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed G2 Ares | 33c | 2,015$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.82 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed WW Team | 62c | 1,541$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.33 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf684…18cfbacked WW Team | 65c | 1,355$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked G2 Ares | 73c | 1,210$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WW Team | 5c | 993$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 61c | 852.17$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.58 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 36c | 672.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares | 51c | 653.36$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 43c | 530.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked WW Team | 65c | 412.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 47c | 399.73$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked G2 Ares | 47c | 293.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed WW Team | 70c | 278.78$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed WW Team | 41c | 193.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…ae21backed G2 Ares | 18c | 181.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed G2 Ares | 43c | 180.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 34c | 166.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed WW Team | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed WW Team | 61c | 133$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked G2 Ares | 25c | 125.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed G2 Ares | 19c | 77.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Ares | 21c | 72.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed G2 Ares | 21c | 71.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 59.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…4b7cbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 50.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…9f98backed WW Team | 46c | 41.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed G2 Ares | 42c | 35.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked G2 Ares | 32c | 32.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked WW Team | 45c | 28.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked WW Team | 68c | 28.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked WW Team | 70c | 26.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed WW Team | 59c | 22.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked WW Team | 61c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked G2 Ares | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor PlayoffsG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.