Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e6c93799244232981e060df178e15fbbb6f8ae34f9757171d0266a3a12456c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 1,150$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.73 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 61c | 933.82$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 63c | 683.83$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 616.21$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 66c | 585.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 33c | 423.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 32c | 399.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 365.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 347.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 36c | 309.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked No | 72c | 304.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 60c | 252.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 242$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked No | 66c | 238.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 6c | 223.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 217$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 61c | 209$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 30c | 204.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 16c | 203.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 196.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 38c | 176.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 19c | 167.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 152.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 27c | 139.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 139.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 34c | 133.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 132.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…cd00backed Yes | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 66c | 127.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 78c | 126.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 120.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 26c | 119.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 67c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 39c | 106.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…5db2backed Yes | 40c | 100.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…bb12backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 94.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 22c | 91.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked No | 66c | 90.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 62.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 40c | 61.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 60c | 57.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 34c | 55.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 35c | 55.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 52.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 75c | 51.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 49.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 72c | 48.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 74c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 67c | 46.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 60c | 44.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 65c | 44.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 62c | 42.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…36bfbacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 65c | 38.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 54c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked No | 62c | 35.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 35c | 33.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 30.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 29.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed Yes | 36c | 27.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…4b4dbacked No | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 54c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed No | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…7f8abacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…c055backed No | 74c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 51c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.