Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e92d5986ca2d8f523da45e406cd599fb55f5255cdf1579af1b2f712c6f9f851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 68c | 1,572$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.06 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 7c | 683.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 628.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 32c | 624.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 611.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 78c | 514.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 44c | 482.86$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.36 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 420.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 417.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 42c | 364.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 23c | 357.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 339.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 33c | 246.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 26c | 245.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 31c | 214.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 21c | 200.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 65c | 192.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 189.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 80c | 187.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 151.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 16c | 148.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 32c | 146.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 28c | 140$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 139.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 69c | 134.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 125.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…8326backed Yes | 70c | 114.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…6af8backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 46c | 102.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 96.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…2f9abacked No | 19c | 83.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 77.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 36c | 71.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…b631backed No | 73c | 69.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 65c | 61.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 68c | 59.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 57c | 55.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…36bfbacked Yes | 76c | 54.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2d1ebacked Yes | 30c | 51.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed Yes | 46c | 51.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 38c | 50.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed No | 70c | 46.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 33c | 45.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 72c | 44.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 50c | 42.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 41.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 38.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Yes | 48c | 38.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -69%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed Yes | 27c | 37.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…9d4cbacked Yes | 72c | 34.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 74c | 33.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 45c | 31.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 40c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 61c | 29.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked No | 73c | 26.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed Yes | 68c | 24.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed No | 68c | 23.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 52c | 23.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 73c | 20.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 74c | 20.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 73c | 13.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.