Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d2790bac9389167baff1179aeba943c7b5b620608f18d8ff128009aa6452a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Under | 3c | 13,300$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…25c4backed Under | 4c | 12,638$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked Under | 6c | 5,100$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…03adbacked Under | 6c | 5,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Under | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Under | 1c | 2,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 1,433$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.42 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 1,083$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 779.04$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.75 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 54c | 700$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Under | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 3c | 560$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 79c | 502.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 478.37$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 452.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 57c | 396.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 42c | 303.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 78c | 270.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 30c | 250.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 51c | 195.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 47c | 170.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 34c | 155.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 146.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 34c | 87.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…668dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 53.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 75c | 52.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Over | 42c | 49.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 68c | 34.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 75c | 27.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 27.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…9f27backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 64c | 24.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 52c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +54%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 68c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 68c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.