Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2aa6df1ea6c29213baf8dd3dc57a8be5fe32a9e5ec67e49b70a8a6c7c9982e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,911$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 2,200$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 298.13$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 53c | 274.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 233.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 220.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 58c | 206.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 58c | 189.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 50.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 49.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 40.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Yes | 36c | 39.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 48c | 37.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 71c | 28.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 53c | 26.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 57c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.