Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ba1da1e2e0e5dfd69e70e28b40386a6a2e89f05ea0ddde98b440ca40f64204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 17,226$10,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 8,692$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 4,105$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.15 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 63c | 2,188$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 2,017$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.09 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 1,485$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.46 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 952.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 544.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.32 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 354.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 226.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 216.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 169.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 93.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 72.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…fcd5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 55.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 44.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 41c | 41.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 35c | 32.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 41c | 27.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.