TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c6,831$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.462,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over12c3,745$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c3,646$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.535,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over3c3,297$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.861,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Under46c3,200$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under71c2,580$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.3134847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf0…696fbacked Over62c2,200$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under11c2,123$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+771.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c1,793$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.532,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under69c1,643$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.312045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e5…a5c8backed Under12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under72c1,495$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8324548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under69c1,429$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.853633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over21c1,395$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012861.7%79 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c1,309$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.942,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.223865.8%25 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb39…25c4backed Under11c1,168$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c1,125$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under16c1,125$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under46c1,090$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.632857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Under69c1,050$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Over2c851.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under73c755.79$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.794934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over26c741.11$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19028532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c699.35$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.171,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under39c692.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.314339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under69c664.75$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.062642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c616.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.269339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under57c553.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5520638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c484.57$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.551,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over39c396.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under19c386.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+422%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c328.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13814429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under41c313.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9918644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c308.07$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under69c289.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.953253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under16c263.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.541520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c229.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.191,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Over14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under40c199.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.991973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Under73c197.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dfe…4feebacked Over45c197.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over26c177.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over24c165$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over26c156.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.43053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under9c139.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.791915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c134.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.631,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over37c124.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Under38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f04…0fe0backed Over52c90.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.514047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.86454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.126052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over32c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under41c57.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.420256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under77c54.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under39c52.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.36437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over32c46.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1882…1af4backed Under69c42.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Over37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under39c39.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over25c39.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106355.6%35 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…2278backed Over61c39.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over28c36.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182552%13 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under62c34.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.884250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over41c29.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0756445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over42c27.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.554663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69df…fe16backed Over60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over60c20.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.358265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Over62c20.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.545060%30 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.47762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under66c15.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b54…22cfbacked Under71c14.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under76c14.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.367356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.