TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Iasi: Tomas Barrios vs Ilia Simakin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilia Simakinof Tomas Barrios, Ilia Simakin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Tomas Barrios74c28,545$21,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,055.649258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilia Simakin34c13,237$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,777.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilia Simakin27c12,119$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,855.8311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilia Simakin16c4,393$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.442,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Tomas Barrios50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8525854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ilia Simakin24c2,291$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.54,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Ilia Simakin11c1,736$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.6326134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilia Simakin58c1,731$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ilia Simakin23c1,352$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.425,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tomas Barrios77c1,311$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.124,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tomas Barrios73c1,279$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.475,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomas Barrios64c1,175$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Tomas Barrios2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tomas Barrios54c999.95$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Ilia Simakin68c839$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1536154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf188…4a83backed Ilia Simakin15c669.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.812423.4%29 W · 95 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Tomas Barrios80c638.31$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3567178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tomas Barrios63c600.69$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.014,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Tomas Barrios2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e74…b3a7backed Ilia Simakin50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Tomas Barrios57c584.6$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3644552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Tomas Barrios62c580.53$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9230353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Tomas Barrios60c546.11$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2936954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tomas Barrios32c536.16$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.24,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Ilia Simakin54c521.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.931,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Tomas Barrios61c496.07$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6846957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Tomas Barrios60c482.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilia Simakin53c471.46$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.964,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Ilia Simakin29c463.31$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9996945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tomas Barrios50c457.27$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.643,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Tomas Barrios58c410.72$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2287337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ilia Simakin48c400$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.114,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ee…8f9ebacked Ilia Simakin43c374.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ilia Simakin28c371.43$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.431,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Tomas Barrios59c332.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0128852.8%152 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked Ilia Simakin36c277.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.313056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Ilia Simakin49c252.65$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.852,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Ilia Simakin6c249.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9917810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Tomas Barrios78c230.75$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.982,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilia Simakin39c229.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.714,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ilia Simakin29c221.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.741,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ilia Simakin23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.393,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Tomas Barrios67c206.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7882958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Tomas Barrios47c200.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4425948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked Tomas Barrios31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211644%51 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Tomas Barrios31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Tomas Barrios31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Tomas Barrios44c193$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0329151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Tomas Barrios63c183.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8922050.9%112 W · 108 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilia Simakin64c174.64$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tomas Barrios77c169.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.12,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Tomas Barrios48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Ilia Simakin24c160$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.61,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Ilia Simakin55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7951445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Tomas Barrios63c136.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.963834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ilia Simakin37c135.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.776,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Tomas Barrios62c134.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Ilia Simakin35c122$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4837255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tomas Barrios49c119.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.024,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Tomas Barrios61c111.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4639159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tomas Barrios45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0553657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed Ilia Simakin16c108.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+219.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Tomas Barrios57c107$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4392046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Ilia Simakin35c107$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0946155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ilia Simakin41c104.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Tomas Barrios58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tomas Barrios56c102.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.762,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ilia Simakin35c100.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.441,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Tomas Barrios24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Tomas Barrios53c97.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8629554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ilia Simakin30c97.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.892,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952d…ab8abacked Tomas Barrios65c93.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.93633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Tomas Barrios31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6618841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Tomas Barrios31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6615340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ilia Simakin47c84.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.753,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tomas Barrios46c81.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.935,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Ilia Simakin34c79.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8418537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Ilia Simakin19c68.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8918038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Tomas Barrios52c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Ilia Simakin23c54.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.841,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tomas Barrios72c53.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.012,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Tomas Barrios55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x836f…e56cbacked Ilia Simakin76c49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Tomas Barrios55c47.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0230246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Tomas Barrios63c45.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.977250%36 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fef…8bb9backed Tomas Barrios65c45.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Ilia Simakin80c43.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7945850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Ilia Simakin27c43.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2425237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Tomas Barrios65c43.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Ilia Simakin69c42.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2944758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Tomas Barrios72c41.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Ilia Simakin28c40.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8142930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Ilia Simakin38c39.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Tomas Barrios50c38.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3532726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilia Simakin50c33.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.066,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Tomas Barrios44c32.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Ilia Simakin50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Tomas Barrios53c28.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Tomas Barrios51c27.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9116258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Tomas Barrios52c27.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.