Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc11a3032b638c078cfb71c9138db0c23f8023af4594f7cb3144961dfb1d9f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitrovof Mensik, Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Mensik | 58c | 738.43$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dimitrov | 42c | 723.23$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Mensik | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Mensik | 56c | 500.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Mensik | 66c | 407.12$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…8c66backed Dimitrov | 49c | 379.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dimitrov | 38c | 352.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dimitrov | 47c | 350.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Mensik | 65c | 338.21$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Dimitrov | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…9f14backed Mensik | 36c | 270.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dimitrov | 53c | 188.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Mensik | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dimitrov | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mensik | 49c | 123.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dimitrov | 33c | 106.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…ff28backed Mensik | 66c | 96.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Mensik | 53c | 93.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Dimitrov | 54c | 39.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrovthis page
- Jakub Mensik vs. Grigor Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Mensik vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovDimitrov won
- Set 2 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovMensik won
- Set 4 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovDimitrov won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)Dimitrov won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor DimitrovGrigor Dimitrov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.