Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9731f31d51227941503b042ff45b057235369f6c510a098fb101ec27843bb790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitrovof Mensik, Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48de…95babacked Mensik | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.97 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Mensik | 51c | 957.71$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Dimitrov | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dimitrov | 42c | 540.42$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.44 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Mensik | 49c | 385.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 223 | 38.6%86 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Dimitrov | 49c | 301.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dimitrov | 49c | 286$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Dimitrov | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Dimitrov | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Dimitrov | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Dimitrov | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Dimitrov | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Dimitrov | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Dimitrov | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mensik | 46c | 89.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…7c7dbacked Dimitrov | 54c | 87.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Dimitrov | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Dimitrov | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Dimitrov | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Dimitrov | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dimitrov | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mensik | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Mensik | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Dimitrov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Dimitrov | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 177 | 58.8%104 W · 73 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)this page
- Jakub Mensik vs. Grigor Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Mensik vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovDimitrov won
- Set 2 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovMensik won
- Set 3 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovDimitrov won
- Set 4 Winner: Mensik vs DimitrovDimitrov won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor DimitrovGrigor Dimitrov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.