TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALKAof ALKA, BESTIA Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked BESTIA Academy57c3,422$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.5192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALKA44c2,806$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.562,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA Academy46c1,529$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.761,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed BESTIA Academy2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA54c350$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.53,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA56c324.9$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.713,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA54c315$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.511,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA55c294$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.892,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked BESTIA Academy68c280.04$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.333057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ALKA50c259.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.441,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed ALKA46c233$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA48c205$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.161,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ALKA54c170.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.771,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked BESTIA Academy48c148$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6720147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA Academy33c140.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.794,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALKA48c139.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.192,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked BESTIA Academy49c136.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7230450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked BESTIA Academy54c116.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8111446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed BESTIA Academy42c116.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9535148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ALKA43c115.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4563038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed BESTIA Academy54c111.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4147053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA71c109.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.445,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed ALKA41c104.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8830939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed BESTIA Academy35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked BESTIA Academy28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed ALKA66c96.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked ALKA47c87.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2330638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA Academy18c76.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1167547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed ALKA68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked ALKA41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1716032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked ALKA72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8836174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ca…19c8backed BESTIA Academy49c66.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.465450%27 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BESTIA Academy20c64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.832,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked BESTIA Academy40c63.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed ALKA47c63.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6221755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed ALKA57c63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA Academy39c56.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed BESTIA Academy57c54.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9460954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked ALKA47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1922037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed BESTIA Academy43c47.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked ALKA57c45.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6638469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA Academy26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BESTIA Academy35c38.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f06…a799backed BESTIA Academy54c36.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.666647%31 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e33…e7bfbacked ALKA52c34.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked ALKA50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1713060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed BESTIA Academy47c32.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2414262%88 W · 54 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed ALKA47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9126344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed BESTIA Academy44c30.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3732054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked BESTIA Academy54c28.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1519851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA50c26.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.457,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked ALKA50c26.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4513751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed ALKA59c25.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4377146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked BESTIA Academy47c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2285054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALKA72c19.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.384,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed ALKA62c16.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4341372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.