CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8ab45ace52956b77e41f857dfe5ea7cdfec3a34bf2c81ec83cb85c2246adea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof ALKA, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA Academy | 34c | 2,079$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.43 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 67c | 1,726$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALKA | 63c | 1,455$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.24 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed BESTIA Academy | 47c | 1,100$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA | 49c | 354.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked ALKA | 58c | 319.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA | 53c | 249.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 46c | 242.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA Academy | 37c | 198.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked BESTIA Academy | 36c | 195.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked BESTIA Academy | 36c | 195.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BESTIA Academy | 43c | 178.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked BESTIA Academy | 41c | 159.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed BESTIA Academy | 44c | 70.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked BESTIA Academy | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked BESTIA Academy | 30c | 69.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…043ebacked ALKA | 63c | 63.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ALKA | 67c | 61.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ALKA | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed BESTIA Academy | 41c | 47.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked BESTIA Academy | 42c | 46.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed BESTIA Academy | 43c | 45.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed ALKA | 65c | 44.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ALKA | 52c | 41.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed ALKA | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ALKA | 65c | 36.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALKA | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ALKA | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA Academy | 48c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ALKA | 61c | 23.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ALKA | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June PlayoffsALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.